Saturday, 28 August 2021

Ionizing Radiation and Health

Ionizing Radiation and Health

 

I’m going to start by being very frank with you. I think that the nuclear industry is deceptive at best and downright fraudulent in fact when it says that it is “safe” and “clean”, the two adjectives repeated in its advertising.

 

Nothing that produces waste which lasts more than a hundred thousand times longer than the original energy production can be said to be “clean”. 

 

That is not all. Mining produces surface tailings ponds that metamorphize into waste retention. The uranium must be transported thousands of kms, refined, and manufactured into fuel rods.

 

For most NPP, the fuel must also be concentrated (called being enriched) using a lot of electricity. None of the handling of the uranium ore or the manufacturing is completely clean so every location is subtly contaminated.

 

Branding “reprocessing” used fuel as “recycling? A lie. This uses highly corrosive acid to dissolve the old fuel thus creating a highly corrosive highly radioactive soup from which a 5% volume of plutonium and uranium-235 has been removed.

 

Meanwhile we are always being reassured that the amount of radioactivity that enters the environment from this dead-end technology is “safe” for human health.

 

What do we know?

 

From the discovery of x-rays and the discovery of radioactivity a year later, physicians and market forces were interacting with these new and highly exciting packets of energy, either as alpha and beta particles or as Gamma and x rays.

 

As quickly as four years later, the effects of focussing these forms of energy was known. Experimental physicists and physicians developed burns of their hands that did not heal, and eventually cancers.

 

The widespread use of radium in a softly glowing beverage came crashing to an end when a dentist identified it as the cause of cancers of the jaws of young women who painted watch dials.

 

In the early 1930’s, the International Radiolgical Standards Association built a monument to the lives of those that had died during the early years of experimenting with ionizing radiation in the health field. They estimated 300,000 deaths.

 

Still, heading into WWII and the Manhattan Project to build an atomic and hydrogen bombs, the United States and the USSR continued to use their own people as subjects in massive population experiments with radioactivity.

 

Even before WWII information sharing, the risks of exposure had been selectively applied to populations working with radiation. While radioactive exposure to skin was still considered to be safe as long as the skin recovered, warnings about long-term effects of handling substances of low radioactivity were known.

 

The Dene

 

In 1930, radium was discovered at on the Eastern shores of Great Bear Lake in NWT.

That same year Dene-Sahtu men were hired as “coolies” to transport the ore in burlap bags on their backs.

 

Canadian government publications warn of the serious health hazards associated with chronic exposure to small amounts of high-grade radioactive ores. The mine workers and ore carriers were not told.

 

One Department of Mines official wrote,” the ingestion of small amounts of radioactive dust or emanation (radon) over a long Period of time will cause a building up of radioactve material in the body, which eventually may have serious consequences. 

 

“Lung cancer, bone necrosis, and rapid anaemia are possible diseases due to the deposition of radioactive substance in the cell tissue or bone structure of the body.”

 

Dr. S. C. Lind, was recognized as one of the outstanding radioactivity chemists of America. He believed that “precautions against ore dust should be considered in view of the concentration of the Great Bear Lake Pitchblende and the recent information of the large numbers of miners of the Bohemian Mines (in Czechoslovakia).  (1932)

 

A 1991 federal aboriginal health survey found the Deline community reporting twice as much illness as any other Canadian indigenous community.

 

 

WWII

 

The Manhattan project proceeded with an awareness that ionizing radiation was not a good thing for human health and it tested the limits of exposure. Three men died using criticality experiments; they had been exposed to radiation in the realm of 3-5,000 MSv.

Most scientists believed that there was a lower dose at which no damage would occur; they knew, however that nausea and vomiting occurred at exposures in the realm of 50 MSv.

 

Terrible experiments rivaling anything carried out by the Nazis occurred – injections of plutonium-239 into patients considered “terminal”, irradiation of prisoners’ testicles, whole body exposure to intense radiation. Practically all of these experiments were done under the secrecy of war and no information was given to the patients.

 

But the war ended, followed by the cold war, the construction of nuclear bombs and then the atmospheric detonation of nuclear bombs and the construction of nuclear power plants to produce the explosives for the bombs. Studying human response to ionizing radiation continued nevertheless – more than 700 pregnant women were given radioactive iron to drink. They were not informed and did not give consent.

 

Atmospheric Testing

 

Several scientists were a little concerned about the fallout from nuclear testing and the effects upon people.

 

Linus Pauling estimated that almost half a million children would be affected. Herman Muller, he of fruit fly fame, said that there was no level of radioactivity that was safe.

 

Then Ernest Sternglass upset everyone by describing a loss of 300,000 children in the generations exposed to atmospheric testing.

 

How he made this estimation: Following state health records, Sternglass noted that from the dates at which statistics were recorded, in the 1930’s, each year recorded more and more healthy one year olds – healthier kids, sulpha drugs for infections, healthy mothers. Then, the year after the beginning of atmospheric testing, the annual increase stops. The 300,000 missing one year olds are calculated from the difference between the expected number of one year olds and the actual. Where were these children?

 

The Atomic Energy Commission of the USA gave the figures to John Goffman with that question; his colleague re-did the calculations and came up with a figure of a missing 4000 children. 

 

The AEC was not happy. Their message to Gofman was that the number had to be zero. Which is what they published.

 

Baby tooth Project

 

Two iterations – the first occurred in the cold war era, simply assessing the amount of strontium 90 in baby teeth. When strontium-90 was found and JFK knew about it, atmospheric testing ceased temporarily. 

 

The follow-up study was done in the early 2000’s 

Dr. Alice Stewart in the UK

 

Dr. Rosalie Bertell in the Tri-State Study in the USA

 

Thyroid Cancer from Chernobyl

 

Background radiation – Swiss study

 

There are a number of studies that have been opportunistic – people have been irradiated for their illnesses and then followed for side effects:

 

Ankylosing Spondylitis – a painful inflammation of the joints between the pelvic bones and the spine. Patients were followed for 11 years starting five years after a course of treatment. All cancers of the chest and abdomen were increased in incidence among the population of 6,838 people. The greatest increase was in pancreatic cancer – an increase of 60%. 

 

TB was treated with chest fluoroscopy in a widespread series of patients in Nova Scotia ending in the 1950’s. A follow-up study published in 1969 showed that breast cancer was radiologically inducible.

 

Israeli children, 2,215 of them, were irradiated for tinea capitus (ringworm) of the scalp. When followed up years later, there were eight brain tumors among the irradiated children and none in a control group of 1,395 children. 

 

In a 1979 study of the same irradiated children, there were found to be 7 tumors of the salivary glands in the exposed children, one tumor in the unexposed.

 

Kikk Study of children around twelve nuclear power plants in Germany showed that there was a consistent increase in incidence of leukemia among children – that increased the closer the child was to the power plant. The researchers concluded that children had a larger chance of suffering from leukemia if they were closer to a NPP – but that they didn’t know why because, based upon what they knew about the NPP, that simply shouldn’t be so. 

 

How could they deny their own findings? They accepted the nuclear power average radioactive release from the PP over three months as exposure of the child, ignoring that the child would have spent part of the time in the uterus. Fetuses have special sensitivity to radiation. They also ignored that fact that the amount of radiation released that the NPP provided was an average – while the practice of the NPP operators was to release radioactive gasses including tritium whenever the pressure became too great, not in a continuous fashion so the “average” consisted of small bursts of radioactivity.

 

Brachytherapy and external targeted radiation. Use of these will increase the risk for other cancers by 8%. Most people will accept the use of the radionuclide for the treatment of their cancer but are they told?[1]

 

PET scans or MIBI scans: There is an increase of 3% per 100 mSv exposures.

 

Finally, nuclear proponents like to bring our attention to our continual exposure to background radiation as proof that radiation, if not good for us, at least is not dramatically harmful.

 

Not quite true. The Swiss did a study looking at all types of cancers in populations exposed to different levels of background radiation and found that for almost all cancers, as the background exposure increased, so did the incidences of cancer.

 

So what are the health effects to humans and all other living things of having more nuclear power stations, making more bombs and making more radioactive waste lasting more than 250,000 years.

 

By what right does our generation have to condemn the future to this gradually measurable new reality of radioactivity?



[1] I have yet to meet a patient who has been told about the increased risk.

 

Wednesday, 18 August 2021

Nuclear Mythology Spin

Michael Barnard's title was "Small Nuclear Reactor Advocates Refuse to Learn the Lessons of the Past". I would contend that they have learned the lessons very well. They have learned how to spin information to the public so that it appears new. They have learned that legislators are an easy prey with government money and they know how to get it.

Much of the interest is driven by governmental policies and investments focusing on the technology. Much of it comes from the nuclear industry. Some comes from entrepreneurs hoping that their technology will take off in a major way, making them and their investors a lot of money.

Much of this post is paraphrased or directly quoted from Michael's excellent article - which I have also tweeted and facebooked and which can be accessed here:  https://medium.com/the-future-is-electric/small-nuclear-reactor-advocates-refuse-to-learn-the-lessons-of-the-past-8ca1af3293c3  Because I was in the process of writing a blog with the same general approach, I've lost track of a lot of who wrote what but inserted quotation marks where it is clearly Michael's words. 

"Small modular reactors won’t achieve economies of manufacturing scale, won’t be faster to construct, forego efficiency of vertical scaling, won’t be cheaper, aren’t suitable for remote or brownfield coal sites, still face very large security costs, will still be costly and slow to decommission, and still require liability insurance caps. They don’t solve any of the problems that they purport to while intentionally choosing to be less efficient than they could be. They’ve existed since the 1950s and they aren’t any better now than they were then."

Michael then explores briefly "the world of small modular nuclear reactors (SMNR) or small and medium reactors (SMR)". The most common acronym is SMR.

"They are nuclear generation devices, nuclear fission thermal generation. They use fissile material heat emissions, to heat a liquid which creates steam which drives turbines to generate electricity."

"The biggest difference between them and traditional nuclear generation reactors is that they are smaller, hence the ‘small’ and ‘medium’ in the names." According to the International Atomic Energy Commission, small is any reactor with a capacity less than 300 MW and medium for up to 700 MW. 

"This is not new technology. The first nuclear generation plant in the world was a Russian 5 MW device that went live in 1954. Hundreds of small reactors have been built for nuclear powered vessels and as neutron sources. This is well trodden ground. Most of the innovations being touted were considered initially decades ago."

Table of SMNR’s types and their status can be found on the World Nuclear Association webpages.

In the seven decades since the first SMR was commissioned, 57 different designs and concepts have been designed, developed and, rarely, built. Most of the ones which are built are getting older without new ones being built to replace them.

The Russian models are far-north icebreaker power plants being considered for land-based deployment in remote northern towns, Indian ones are 14 small CANDU variants decades old, and one Chinese plant is at the end of its 40-year life span.

An Argentinean model has been in construction on and off for over a decade and may never see the light of day. The Chinese HTR-PM, under construction for the past decade, is the only one with remotely new technology. If commissioned, it is expected to be the first Gen IV reactor in operation. 

What we are being sold isn’t just one technology, it’s many technologies. A literal Heinz-57 variants of 18 types have been promoted. None are dominant.

"Advocates for SMRs typically make some subset of the following claims:

·       They are safer

·       They can be manufactured in scaled, centralized manufacturing facilities so they will be cheaper

·       They can provide clean power for remote facilities or communities

·       They can be deployed onto decommissioned coal generation brownfield sites

·       They can be built faster

None of these are good arguments."

"First, traditional nuclear is safe already, due to passive safety features in the majority of operational reactors and lots of attention to management and operations. Chernobyl was a bad design. Fukushima was due to deeply bad siting and operational decisions. Those siting and operational decisions have resulted into a cost which is likely to be around a trillion US Dollars to the overall Japanese economy when all the bills are counted. SMRs aren’t immune to bad siting and bad operational decisions.

"Nuclear is not failing in the marketplace because of safety concerns although those are still real, economics are why nuclear is failing in the marketplace.

"Second, In order for economies of scale to kick in, a manufacturing facility has to build hundreds, thousands or millions of the same thing and have a projected future market for hundreds or thousands more. The field is littered with 18 different types of technologies and many competing designs within those types. There is no coherent single technology which will dominate the field. Each country engaged in SMR research has its own preferred technologies and its own companies to support. "

The nuclear industry should be faced with at least as much scrutiny as anyone else that wants money to start their business. If they are as good as their proponents say, maybe they should compete on the T-V show, Dragon’s Den?

"No scaled manufacturing, no cost reductions. NuScale’s expressed hope is to get its cost of generation down to only double the current wholesale cost of wind and solar generation, around $65 per MWh.

"Third, both remote communities have major security exposures. As nuclear technologies and fuels are highly proscribed and limited due to nuclear non-proliferation strategic goals, and as concentrated radioactive material is highly desirable for terrorists for dirty bombs, the entire supply, operational and waste chain requires significant overlapping circles of defense.

"These requirements don’t go away because the nuclear reactors are smaller.

Per reactor allocation of all security costs for US fleet. Table by Michael Barnard published in 2021

     "And these security costs are big, and mostly hidden in federal, state, and municipal subsidies.Remote areas still require these additional security costs, and they will likely be higher simplydue to the additional challenges of securing remote areas with high transportation costs. 

"There will be no fast deployment of SMRs. They need to be standardized, shippable units. Right now, the units under construction. Nu Scale is promising an unrealistic 12 units in operation by 2029, but the $1.4 billion bail-out it received after several municipalities walked away from the rising costs and schedule don’t suggest that’s realistic.

"Are there other problems with SMRs?

"Yes, yes there are, three of them.

1.    They can’t take advantage of vertical scaling. As discussed, they cannot achieve economies of manufacturing scale due to the sheer number of competing technologies and lack of any strategy to resolve the issue. In addition to  failing the horizontal scaling challenge, they don’t scale vertically either. Most energy production becomes more efficient as the plants become larger – there is an optimum diameter of pipes for efficient fluid and steam transfer. Bigger diameter pipes move a lot more fluid more efficiently. Gates’ Terrapower is designing a 1,200 MW capacity reactor, so they seem to have received the vertical scaling memo but this just puts them back into the same cost problem as normal reactors.

2.    Decommissioning a nuclear reactor is a billion USD, 100-year venture. I’ve heard it said that they were small enough to be buried in situ. That was wishful thinking. US data suggests that a clean-up or decommissioning would cost $70 billion of taxpayers’ dollars in addition to the amount that is put aside during operation for clean-up. The other suggestion is that the reactors would be returned to a centralized processing site for decommissioning. This totally begs sanity – no one would ship the highly radioactive nuclear core from an old nuclear power plant across the country. Furthermore no country in the world has managed to build a centralized nuclear waste repository, so this is deeply unlikely.

3.    No nuclear reactor is commissioned with private insurance. Every country with a nuclear generation fleet has enacted legislation which caps private liability at some level and puts any liability above that level onto the shoulders of taxpayers. In the US at present that’s $13 billion for the entire sector, around $131 million per reactor. These sound like big numbers, but as was pointed out earlier, Fukushima’s liability is in the trillion USD range. 

So who Is advocating For SMRs & why?"

At present we see SMR-earmarked funds in both Canadian and US federal budgets, mostly for research and development with the exception of over a billion to NuScale to, in theory, build something. Four provinces in Canada — Alberta, Ontario, New Brunswick and Saskatchewan — have signed MOU with SMR development.

The conditions for failure of small modular reactors are obvious. "The lack of a significant market is obvious. No one wants them. In a Heinz-57 field, the lack of ability to create a clear winner is obvious. The security costs are obvious. The lack of vertical scaling for thermal efficiency is obvious. The security risks and associated costs are obvious. The liability insurance cap implications are obvious. So why is all of this money and energy being thrown at SMRs? 

Let’s start with the worst perspective. The Canadian provinces which focused on SMRs call this a major part of their climate change solutions. New Brunswick has an old, expensive, and due-to-retire reactor, as well as a track record of throwing money away on bad energy ideas, like Joi Scientific’s hydrogen perpetual motion machines. Ontario has a nuclear fleet and been actively hostile to renewable energy, to the extent that the current administration cut up 758 contracts on renewables to the tune of $250,000,000. Furthermore, the government legislated a lack of recourse. All of them have premiers with no education beyond high school and negative attitudes to science and to education. 

They are deferring real governmental climate action while claiming the appearance of climate action. They pander to their least wise supporters by asserting that renewables won’t work for their purpose, while SMRs aren’t even in a modern, deployable, operable form yet.

At one time it could be argued that renewables were too expensive, that they would cause grid unreliability and hence that nuclear was necessary. This been disproven by nuclear deployment failures, and plummeting costs and proven reliability of renewables. Every serious analyst agrees that renewables can economically deliver 80% of required grid energy. A debate exists about the remaining 20%.

A Stanford research team is at the centre of this debate. Since the late ‘00s, they’ve been publishing regular studies of increasing scope and sophistication on the thesis of 100% renewables by 2050. Their 2015 publication saw a lot of push-back. People thought that nuclear would be necessary. As in-stream hydro, improved storage and various geothermal accesses have illustrated, some of these same analysts are now saying it’s the last 10% of the problem which is the challenge.

It will take to work to integrate renewables into our energy grid in sufficient numbers to bring their total to 80 - 90%. Our energy research dollars should be directed towards solving the problems that arise as we transition to sustainable renewable energy instead of supporting a dying industry. 

If we are really worried about that last 10-20%, research dollars can be spent on SMRs, which is all most of the SMR expenditures amount to. (On the other hand,  the 1.4 billion dollar NuScale bailout strains credibility especially when it is added to the Ohio $1.3 billion bailout, which is added to the annual $1.7 billion overt federal subsidy, which is added to the annual hidden $4 billion security subsidy which is added to the $70 billion unfunded cleanup subsidy, which is added to the un-costed and unfunded taxpayer liability). 

I have come to the conclusion that people asserting that SMRs are the primary or only answer to energy generation either don’t know what they are talking about, are actively dissembling or are intentionally delaying climate action. They may believe their own media spin.